The risks of tightening into a downturn.
It would be an understatement to say that the stock market has been volatile recently.
Looking for a tactical way to de-risk your portfolio? You might consider rotating a portion of your equity allocation into high-yield bonds.
Credit market volatility this year has been extreme.
We put together a histogram of the last 96 years of annual returns, bunching them into percentile ranges. You might expect something that looks like a bell curve, but you would be very wrong! As advisors, we constantly remind clients about the necessity to think long term. The problem is that it’s hard at any age to think in 30-year terms, especially in the middle of a year like 2022.
The White House said last week it is prepared to begin large sales of crude oil from the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
If we follow the threads underlying inflation over the past year to their earliest beginnings, they run straight through the fog of pandemic, quickly pass by the financial crisis in 2008, and wind their way past the Great Inflation of the 1970s...
Wylie Tollette, Head of Client Investment Solutions with Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions, joins the head of the Franklin Templeton Institute, Stephen Dover, for a conversation on the recent equity market selloff.
Investors are in a pickle.
Natural gas prices traded higher to start the week after forecasts show hotter than average temperatures in the United States.
Although you can learn a great deal from studying the past, you can only invest in the future.
Investor sentiment has become so bearish that it’s bullish.
The consensus among economists puts the odds of a recession starting sometime in the next year at 30%, according to Bloomberg's most recent survey.
U.S. stocks are trading lower as another week begins on the heels of six-straight weekly losses for the S&P 500.
Three powerful forces have unleashed a volatility storm in stock markets this year.
The template of 1929 and 1987 is coming into focus in recent trading days.
When life gives you lemons: sell them!
There’s no way to sugar coat it -the stock market has experienced a bear market affecting all sectors of the market except for Energy.
Some big-name investors forecast that Bitcoin will eventually hit $100,000, $1 million or more. It could very well do that, but for now, its price is closer to $0. That’s both a risk and an opportunity.
The Strategic Investment Conference wrapped up this week with another wave of strong, fascinating speakers and panels. Today I have more to share and, as you’ll see, the plot thickened considerably.
In March of last year, we wrote an article entitled “Timing the End of the Tech and Bitcoin Bubbles”. Our conclusion for Bitcoin was that it was indeed in a bubble but that there was insufficient technical evidence at the time indicating its bursting.
The equity market was on cruise control, but now headline congestion has the S&P 500 down more than 17% year-to-date—its worst start to a year in at least 25 years.
Rising yields, wider spreads, and heightened market volatility are providing an attractive environment, but caution in credit selection is warranted.
Selling an exchange-traded fund (ETF) should be just as easy as buying one, irrespective of the fund’s size or volume.
The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for growth, inflation and interest rates.
Rich countries have shown impressive unity in helping Ukraine counter the Russian invasion.
In our latest insight, we analyze the recent DALBAR study to determine how well (or not well) active fixed-income investors performed during the bull market and explain what we believe will be the best approach for fixed-income investing given the start of a pro-inflation paradigm shift.
Charles Schwab May 2022 Market Snapshot with Liz Ann Sonders.
Stocks that do not pay a dividend are often thought of as growth stocks.
Jay Powell may think he is Paul Volcker, but he is not Paul Volcker.
Modern slavery is a lucrative business that can’t exist without the financial system.
Just today, as US inflation came in a touch hotter than expected, the Chinese Yuan is pulling lower, testing the lows of May 9, 2022.
Coming out of the depths of the pandemic, US equity and fixed income markets are facing new challenges this year amid a rising interest rate environment and deceleration in growth.
The geopolitical crisis in Ukraine creates a stagflationary shock for global economies. The plan to fight inflation just got far more complicated for global central banks.
Dividend Growth Stocks Dividend growth stocks are one of the more favored classes of stocks that investors want to hear about.
RMB depreciation won't offer much support to Chinese growth.
Tax Day has come and gone.
Heightened market volatility has led to misconceptions about credit, in our view. We dispel four of them here.
With the world facing inflationary and geopolitical hurdles, economic growth is poised to slow. In this environment, investors in growth stocks must identify companies with the right features to overcome headwinds to earnings.
Yesterday was another bad down day in the markets.
The Fed has set the stage for a series of rapid rate hikes.
COVID-19’s resurgence in China has cast doubt over the government’s ability to meet its 2022 growth target of around 5.5%, which officials affirmed in March, before the scale of the latest outbreak became clear.
After listening to the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting on April 30, 2022, we thought it would be appropriate to frame the aggressive buying of Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Chevron (CVX) in the first quarter of this year.
U.S. stocks suffered another day of losses Monday, as the market continued to weigh the risk that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive anti-inflation campaign could push the economy into recession.
Until recently, inflation and interest rates had been on a secular downtrend after peaking in the early 1980s.
Through rising real yields, a slowing economy and poor seasonality, short-term headwinds remain for gold and precious metals.
At the end of 2021, we set out our projections for the stock market in 2022: 5,250 for the S&P 500 and 40,000 for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Tractor Supply Company is the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the US, offering a range of products for home, land, pets, and animals—everything except tractors.
“Don’t be bearish.” That was the message delivered by a Wall Street Journal article in August 2021.
The Fed will need some luck on its side to deliver another soft landing.
